Summary of Class 12 Maths Probability

Summary of Class 12 Maths Probability


Conditional Probability


If E and F are two events associated with the same sample space of a random experiment, then the conditional probability of the event E given that F has occurred,

i.e. P (E|F) is given by

                     P(E/F) = , where p(F) ≠ 0

Conditional probability is the probability that an event will occur given that another event has already occurred.


Properties of Conditional Probability


Let E and F be events of a sample space S of an experiment, then we have

1. P(S|F) = P(F|F) = 1

2. P((A  B)|F) = P(A|F) + P(B|F) – P((A  B)|F)

Where A and B are any two events associated with S.

3. P(E’|F) = 1 − P(E|F)


Multiplication Theorem on Probability


1. Let E and F be two events associated with a random experiment, then

     P(E ) = P(E) . P(F/E), P(E) ≠ 0

                       = P(F) . P(E/F), P(F) ≠ 0

2. Let E, F and G be three events associated with a sample space S, then

     P(E ) = P(E) . P(F/E) . P(G/E )


Independent Events


Two events E and F are said to be independent, if the occurrence or non-occurrence of one event does not affect the occurrence or non-occurrence of another event.

Thus, two events E and F will be independent, if

a. P(F/E) = P(F), P(E) ≠ 0

b. P(E/F) = P(E), P(F) ≠ 0

Let E and F be two events associated with the same random experiment, then E and F are said to be independent, if

P(E ) = P(E). P(F)


Partition of a Sample Space


A set of events E1, E2, ..., En is said to represent a partition of the sample space S if

(a) Ei  Ej = φ, i j, i, j = 1, 2, 3, ..., n

(b) E1  E2  ...  En = S and

(c) P(Ei) > 0 for all i = 1, 2, ..., n.


Theorems of Total Probability


Let {E1, E2, ..., En} be a partition of the sample space S. Let A be any event associated with S, then

P(A) = P(E1) P(A|E1) + P(E2) P(A|E2) + ... + P(En) P(A|En)

          =


Bayes’ Theorem


Let E1, E2 ,..., En are n non-empty events which constitute a partition of sample space S, i.e. E1, E2 ,..., En are pairwise disjoint and E1 E2  ...  En = S. Let A is any event of non-zero probability, then

Bayes Formula for Conditional probability

where k = 1, 2, 3, …, n


Random Variable

A random variable is a real valued function whose domain is the sample space of a random experiment. It is generally represented by the letter X.


Probability Distribution of a Random Variable


Let X is a random variable and takes the values x1, x2, x3, …, xn with respective probabilities p1, p2, p3, …, pn. Then, the probability distribution of X is represented by

X

x1

x2

x3

xn

P(X)

p1

p2

p3

pn

Where pi > 0 such that   ; i = 1, 2, 3, …, n


Mean of a Random Variable


Let X is a random variable and takes the values x1, x2, x3, …, xn with respective probabilities p1, p2, p3, …, pn.

Mean of random variable X, denoted by μ [or expected value of X denoted by E(X)] is defined as

μ = E(X) =

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